Ahmed al-Sharaa’s appointment as transitional president in January 2025 and subsequent consolidation of authority through a five-year constitutional framework have anchored trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Recent developments include indirect legislative elections, cabinet reshuffles in May 2026, and integration agreements with Kurdish-led forces, alongside diplomatic outreach such as meetings with U.S. officials and participation in anti-ISIL efforts. Foiled assassination plots reported by the UN in February 2026 and ongoing management of sectarian tensions have not produced viable alternatives or institutional challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors, combined with sustained international engagement, underpin the current 88.5% implied probability that al-Sharaa completes the transitional period without removal or resignation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$56,666 Обс.
$56,666 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$56,666 Обс.
$56,666 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa’s appointment as transitional president in January 2025 and subsequent consolidation of authority through a five-year constitutional framework have anchored trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Recent developments include indirect legislative elections, cabinet reshuffles in May 2026, and integration agreements with Kurdish-led forces, alongside diplomatic outreach such as meetings with U.S. officials and participation in anti-ISIL efforts. Foiled assassination plots reported by the UN in February 2026 and ongoing management of sectarian tensions have not produced viable alternatives or institutional challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors, combined with sustained international engagement, underpin the current 88.5% implied probability that al-Sharaa completes the transitional period without removal or resignation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$56,666Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa’s appointment as transitional president in January 2025 and subsequent consolidation of authority through a five-year constitutional framework have anchored trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Recent developments include indirect legislative elections, cabinet reshuffles in May 2026, and integration agreements with Kurdish-led forces, alongside diplomatic outreach such as meetings with U.S. officials and participation in anti-ISIL efforts. Foiled assassination plots reported by the UN in February 2026 and ongoing management of sectarian tensions have not produced viable alternatives or institutional challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors, combined with sustained international engagement, underpin the current 88.5% implied probability that al-Sharaa completes the transitional period without removal or resignation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$56,666Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ahmed al-Sharaa’s appointment as transitional president in January 2025 and subsequent consolidation of authority through a five-year constitutional framework have anchored trader expectations that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Recent developments include indirect legislative elections, cabinet reshuffles in May 2026, and integration agreements with Kurdish-led forces, alongside diplomatic outreach such as meetings with U.S. officials and participation in anti-ISIL efforts. Foiled assassination plots reported by the UN in February 2026 and ongoing management of sectarian tensions have not produced viable alternatives or institutional challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors, combined with sustained international engagement, underpin the current 88.5% implied probability that al-Sharaa completes the transitional period without removal or resignation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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