Amazon’s market capitalization currently hovers near $2.9–3.0 trillion following its July 30, 2026, Q2 earnings beat, with revenue rising 20% to $200.6 billion and AWS sales surging 37%—its fastest pace in 18 quarters—driving the post-report rally above the $3 trillion threshold. Elevated capital expenditures, now guided to $220 billion for the full year amid AI infrastructure buildout, weigh on near-term free cash flow while positioning the company for potential long-term gains in cloud and custom chips. Advertising growth at roughly 26% and resilient e-commerce trends provide additional support, yet analyst debates over monetization timelines and competitive intensity in AI keep the $2.5–3.0 trillion and $3.0–3.5 trillion bins closely matched at 22.0% and 20.5% implied probabilities. Q3 results and holiday sales data due later this year represent key swing factors that could shift trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2.50-$3.00T 22%
$3.00-$3.50T 21%
$3.50-$4.00T 10%
$2.00-$2.50T 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.00T
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
8%
$2.50-$3.00T
22%
$3.00-$3.50T
21%
$3.50-$4.00T
10%
$4.00-$4.50T
4%
$4.50T+
6%
$2.50-$3.00T 22%
$3.00-$3.50T 21%
$3.50-$4.00T 10%
$2.00-$2.50T 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.00T
$141 Обс.
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
$125 Обс.
8%
$2.50-$3.00T
$455 Обс.
22%
$3.00-$3.50T
$121 Обс.
21%
$3.50-$4.00T
$146 Обс.
10%
$4.00-$4.50T
$125 Обс.
4%
$4.50T+
$130 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s market capitalization currently hovers near $2.9–3.0 trillion following its July 30, 2026, Q2 earnings beat, with revenue rising 20% to $200.6 billion and AWS sales surging 37%—its fastest pace in 18 quarters—driving the post-report rally above the $3 trillion threshold. Elevated capital expenditures, now guided to $220 billion for the full year amid AI infrastructure buildout, weigh on near-term free cash flow while positioning the company for potential long-term gains in cloud and custom chips. Advertising growth at roughly 26% and resilient e-commerce trends provide additional support, yet analyst debates over monetization timelines and competitive intensity in AI keep the $2.5–3.0 trillion and $3.0–3.5 trillion bins closely matched at 22.0% and 20.5% implied probabilities. Q3 results and holiday sales data due later this year represent key swing factors that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,242Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s market capitalization currently hovers near $2.9–3.0 trillion following its July 30, 2026, Q2 earnings beat, with revenue rising 20% to $200.6 billion and AWS sales surging 37%—its fastest pace in 18 quarters—driving the post-report rally above the $3 trillion threshold. Elevated capital expenditures, now guided to $220 billion for the full year amid AI infrastructure buildout, weigh on near-term free cash flow while positioning the company for potential long-term gains in cloud and custom chips. Advertising growth at roughly 26% and resilient e-commerce trends provide additional support, yet analyst debates over monetization timelines and competitive intensity in AI keep the $2.5–3.0 trillion and $3.0–3.5 trillion bins closely matched at 22.0% and 20.5% implied probabilities. Q3 results and holiday sales data due later this year represent key swing factors that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Обсяг
$1,242Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amazon’s market capitalization currently hovers near $2.9–3.0 trillion following its July 30, 2026, Q2 earnings beat, with revenue rising 20% to $200.6 billion and AWS sales surging 37%—its fastest pace in 18 quarters—driving the post-report rally above the $3 trillion threshold. Elevated capital expenditures, now guided to $220 billion for the full year amid AI infrastructure buildout, weigh on near-term free cash flow while positioning the company for potential long-term gains in cloud and custom chips. Advertising growth at roughly 26% and resilient e-commerce trends provide additional support, yet analyst debates over monetization timelines and competitive intensity in AI keep the $2.5–3.0 trillion and $3.0–3.5 trillion bins closely matched at 22.0% and 20.5% implied probabilities. Q3 results and holiday sales data due later this year represent key swing factors that could shift trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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