Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPP 99.2%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$163,831 Обс.
$163,831 Обс.
May 17, 2026
PP
99%
PSOE-A
1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.2%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$163,831 Обс.
$163,831 Обс.
May 17, 2026
PP
$56,596 Обс.
99%
PSOE-A
$60,856 Обс.
1%
VOX
$36,208 Обс.
<1%
PA
$5,745 Обс.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Обс.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$163,831Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Обсяг
$163,831Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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