Apple’s current ~$4.5–4.9T market cap, after briefly touching $5T in late July 2026, reflects closely matched trader sentiment for year-end outcomes because of mixed recent signals. Solid iPhone revenue growth in the latest quarter was offset by weak forward guidance and higher memory costs, triggering a post-earnings selloff. Offsetting this, Apple’s June WWDC26 preview of next-generation Apple Intelligence and the more capable Siri AI—set for iOS 27 rollout this fall—positions the company’s on-device, privacy-focused large language model approach against cloud-heavy rivals. Services momentum, iPhone 17 launch timing, and any China sales recovery remain key swing factors that could shift the tightly bunched $4–5.5T range before December resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$4.50-$5.00T 24%
$5.00-$5.50T 20%
$4.00-$4.50T 19%
$3.50-$4.00T 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
8%
$3.50-$4.00T
18%
$4.00-$4.50T
19%
$4.50-$5.00T
24%
$5.00-$5.50T
20%
$5.50-$6.00T
16%
$6.00T+
5%
$4.50-$5.00T 24%
$5.00-$5.50T 20%
$4.00-$4.50T 19%
$3.50-$4.00T 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$63 Обс.
8%
$3.50-$4.00T
$40 Обс.
18%
$4.00-$4.50T
$62 Обс.
19%
$4.50-$5.00T
$75 Обс.
24%
$5.00-$5.50T
$40 Обс.
20%
$5.50-$6.00T
$40 Обс.
16%
$6.00T+
$46 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple’s current ~$4.5–4.9T market cap, after briefly touching $5T in late July 2026, reflects closely matched trader sentiment for year-end outcomes because of mixed recent signals. Solid iPhone revenue growth in the latest quarter was offset by weak forward guidance and higher memory costs, triggering a post-earnings selloff. Offsetting this, Apple’s June WWDC26 preview of next-generation Apple Intelligence and the more capable Siri AI—set for iOS 27 rollout this fall—positions the company’s on-device, privacy-focused large language model approach against cloud-heavy rivals. Services momentum, iPhone 17 launch timing, and any China sales recovery remain key swing factors that could shift the tightly bunched $4–5.5T range before December resolution.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$365Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple’s current ~$4.5–4.9T market cap, after briefly touching $5T in late July 2026, reflects closely matched trader sentiment for year-end outcomes because of mixed recent signals. Solid iPhone revenue growth in the latest quarter was offset by weak forward guidance and higher memory costs, triggering a post-earnings selloff. Offsetting this, Apple’s June WWDC26 preview of next-generation Apple Intelligence and the more capable Siri AI—set for iOS 27 rollout this fall—positions the company’s on-device, privacy-focused large language model approach against cloud-heavy rivals. Services momentum, iPhone 17 launch timing, and any China sales recovery remain key swing factors that could shift the tightly bunched $4–5.5T range before December resolution.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Обсяг
$365Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple’s current ~$4.5–4.9T market cap, after briefly touching $5T in late July 2026, reflects closely matched trader sentiment for year-end outcomes because of mixed recent signals. Solid iPhone revenue growth in the latest quarter was offset by weak forward guidance and higher memory costs, triggering a post-earnings selloff. Offsetting this, Apple’s June WWDC26 preview of next-generation Apple Intelligence and the more capable Siri AI—set for iOS 27 rollout this fall—positions the company’s on-device, privacy-focused large language model approach against cloud-heavy rivals. Services momentum, iPhone 17 launch timing, and any China sales recovery remain key swing factors that could shift the tightly bunched $4–5.5T range before December resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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