UK inflation held steady at 2.8% in May 2026, above the Bank of England’s 2% target, as Middle East conflict drove energy and motor fuel costs higher and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% through April. This geopolitical shock reversed earlier expectations for two 2026 cuts, with futures markets now pricing in a greater chance of tightening; one MPC member already voted for a 25-basis-point hike in April. Trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability for a hike this year reflects these persistent price pressures and divided committee views ahead of the June 18 decision, while acknowledging that further data could still shift the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$41,772 Обс.
$41,772 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$41,772 Обс.
$41,772 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UK inflation held steady at 2.8% in May 2026, above the Bank of England’s 2% target, as Middle East conflict drove energy and motor fuel costs higher and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% through April. This geopolitical shock reversed earlier expectations for two 2026 cuts, with futures markets now pricing in a greater chance of tightening; one MPC member already voted for a 25-basis-point hike in April. Trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability for a hike this year reflects these persistent price pressures and divided committee views ahead of the June 18 decision, while acknowledging that further data could still shift the path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$41,772Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UK inflation held steady at 2.8% in May 2026, above the Bank of England’s 2% target, as Middle East conflict drove energy and motor fuel costs higher and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% through April. This geopolitical shock reversed earlier expectations for two 2026 cuts, with futures markets now pricing in a greater chance of tightening; one MPC member already voted for a 25-basis-point hike in April. Trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability for a hike this year reflects these persistent price pressures and divided committee views ahead of the June 18 decision, while acknowledging that further data could still shift the path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$41,772Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...UK inflation held steady at 2.8% in May 2026, above the Bank of England’s 2% target, as Middle East conflict drove energy and motor fuel costs higher and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% through April. This geopolitical shock reversed earlier expectations for two 2026 cuts, with futures markets now pricing in a greater chance of tightening; one MPC member already voted for a 25-basis-point hike in April. Trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability for a hike this year reflects these persistent price pressures and divided committee views ahead of the June 18 decision, while acknowledging that further data could still shift the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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