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icon for Base iPhone 18 released by...?
Технологія·КПЕ

Base iPhone 18 released by...?

icon for Base iPhone 18 released by...?
Технологія·КПЕ

Base iPhone 18 released by...?

НОВЕ
Feb 28, 2027
Polymarket

$252 Обс.

Polymarket

February 28, 2027

$124 Обс.

31%

March 31, 2027

$88 Обс.

74%

April 30, 2027

$40 Обс.

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event has shifted trader focus toward a spring 2027 release. The company unveiled only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, while raising prices on existing iPhone 17 models by $100. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Ming-Chi Kuo, confirm Apple is adopting a split schedule—premium flagships in fall and more affordable models like the standard iPhone 18, iPhone 18e, and iPhone Air 2 in early 2027—to manage manufacturing and demand. This aligns with historical patterns for lower-volume variants and positions the base model for a March or Q1 launch window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$252
Дата завершення
May 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event has shifted trader focus toward a spring 2027 release. The company unveiled only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, while raising prices on existing iPhone 17 models by $100. Multiple supply-chain reports and analysts, including Ming-Chi Kuo, confirm Apple is adopting a split schedule—premium flagships in fall and more affordable models like the standard iPhone 18, iPhone 18e, and iPhone Air 2 in early 2027—to manage manufacturing and demand. This aligns with historical patterns for lower-volume variants and positions the base model for a March or Q1 launch window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$252
Дата завершення
May 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

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Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

18%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Base iPhone 18 released by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «April 30, 2027» з 83%, далі «March 31, 2027» з 74%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Base iPhone 18 released by...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 18, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Base iPhone 18 released by...?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Base iPhone 18 released by...?» — «April 30, 2027» з 83%. Наступний — «March 31, 2027» з 74%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Base iPhone 18 released by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.