Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” the Toy Story 5 soundtrack single, has anchored the upper reaches of the Billboard Hot 100 for more than eight weeks, recently reaching a new peak on Adult Pop Airplay while maintaining top-three placement through consistent streaming and radio metrics. This established trajectory, bolstered by the film’s cultural reach and Swift’s historical chart dominance, has produced overwhelming trader consensus reflected in the 100% market-implied probability for the #2 spot on the August 22 chart. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from a competing track—such as a late-breaking viral hit or accelerated sales from another release—outpacing the song’s steady airplay and consumption data in the final tracking days.