Skip to main content
icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 89%

Rakhi Israni Singh 8.7%

Matt Ortega 3.9%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Aisha Wahab 89%

Rakhi Israni Singh 8.7%

Matt Ortega 3.9%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Aisha Wahab

$429 Обс.

89%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 Обс.

4%

Wendy Huang

$165 Обс.

2%

Carin Elam

$210 Обс.

4%

Matt Ortega

$183 Обс.

4%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 Обс.

9%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 Обс.

4%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.The resignation of Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations triggered the special election to fill California's 14th Congressional District seat through a June 16 nonpartisan primary, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads trader consensus due to her California Democratic Party endorsement, prior congressional candidacy, and established support across Alameda County Democratic organizations in a district that delivered nearly 70 percent support for the previous Democratic incumbent. Other listed candidates, including Rakhi Israni Singh, Matt Ortega, and Melissa Hernandez, remain lower-probability alternatives in the crowded Democratic field, while Republican Wendy Huang trails further behind amid the district's partisan composition. Upcoming vote thresholds and ballot order will determine whether the race resolves outright or advances.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$1,658
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.The resignation of Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations triggered the special election to fill California's 14th Congressional District seat through a June 16 nonpartisan primary, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads trader consensus due to her California Democratic Party endorsement, prior congressional candidacy, and established support across Alameda County Democratic organizations in a district that delivered nearly 70 percent support for the previous Democratic incumbent. Other listed candidates, including Rakhi Israni Singh, Matt Ortega, and Melissa Hernandez, remain lower-probability alternatives in the crowded Democratic field, while Republican Wendy Huang trails further behind amid the district's partisan composition. Upcoming vote thresholds and ballot order will determine whether the race resolves outright or advances.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$1,658
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Aisha Wahab» з 89%, далі «Rakhi Israni Singh» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 16, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-14 Special Election Winner?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — «Aisha Wahab» з 89%. Наступний — «Rakhi Israni Singh» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.