The House Ethics Committee's ongoing probe into allegations of dating violence and campaign finance issues against Rep. Cory Mills remains in an active but extended investigative phase, with a May 11 update confirming over 20 subpoenas issued and additional documents and testimony still expected in the coming weeks. Mills has repeatedly stated he will not resign, and no expulsion resolution introduced by Rep. Nancy Mace has advanced to a floor vote or committee markup. Congressional procedures for ethics reviews and expulsion require multiple steps that rarely resolve in under two weeks absent extraordinary circumstances. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to Mills retaining his seat through May 31, though a sudden resignation or accelerated leadership intervention could still shift the outcome in the narrow remaining window.