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icon for Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

icon for Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$8,620 Обс.

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$8,620 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly and explicitly stated that he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party, including in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed affirming his alignment with core Democratic positions on issues such as abortion, labor, and LGBTQ rights. Recent speculation about a potential switch or independent status, driven by his cross-aisle votes and public comments on foreign policy and immigration, prompted outreach from Republican figures but produced no shift in his caucus affiliation or voting patterns. With the June 30 resolution date now days away and no announcements or procedural moves indicating a change, trader consensus reflects these consistent public denials. Late developments such as an unexpected statement, health-related absence, or external pressure from party leaders could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.

Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$8,620
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly and explicitly stated that he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party, including in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed affirming his alignment with core Democratic positions on issues such as abortion, labor, and LGBTQ rights. Recent speculation about a potential switch or independent status, driven by his cross-aisle votes and public comments on foreign policy and immigration, prompted outreach from Republican figures but produced no shift in his caucus affiliation or voting patterns. With the June 30 resolution date now days away and no announcements or procedural moves indicating a change, trader consensus reflects these consistent public denials. Late developments such as an unexpected statement, health-related absence, or external pressure from party leaders could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.

Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$8,620
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 0% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 0¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 0%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 4, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?» — 0% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 0% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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