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Politics·July 21 Primaries

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·July 21 Primaries

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Jonathan Treble 45%

Amish Shah 45%

Marlene Galán-Woods 45%

Rick McCartney 38%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Jonathan Treble 45%

Amish Shah 45%

Marlene Galán-Woods 45%

Rick McCartney 38%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Jonathan Treble

$0 Обс.

45%

Amish Shah

$0 Обс.

45%

Marlene Galán-Woods

$0 Обс.

45%

Rick McCartney

$22 Обс.

38%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus around 44-50% for Amish Shah, Marlene Galán-Woods, Rick McCartney, and Jonathan Treble in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems from a four-way contest set for July 21, 2026. Shah, a former state representative and ER physician with prior primary success, holds name recognition but faces questions over his 2024 general-election loss. Galán-Woods, a former journalist backed by the DCCC, positions herself as the stronger general-election candidate emphasizing institutional accountability. The two businessmen on the ballot add further fragmentation. A late-June debate underscored policy differences on healthcare, costs, and economic issues while leaving substantial undecided voters, limiting any single contender's edge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22
Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus around 44-50% for Amish Shah, Marlene Galán-Woods, Rick McCartney, and Jonathan Treble in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems from a four-way contest set for July 21, 2026. Shah, a former state representative and ER physician with prior primary success, holds name recognition but faces questions over his 2024 general-election loss. Galán-Woods, a former journalist backed by the DCCC, positions herself as the stronger general-election candidate emphasizing institutional accountability. The two businessmen on the ballot add further fragmentation. A late-June debate underscored policy differences on healthcare, costs, and economic issues while leaving substantial undecided voters, limiting any single contender's edge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22
Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jonathan Treble» з 45%, далі «Amish Shah» з 45%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 29, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Jonathan Treble» з 45%. Наступний — «Amish Shah» з 45%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.