Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to his dominant first-quarter fundraising haul exceeding $740,000, Trump endorsement, and NRCC backing, positioning him as the establishment favorite to hold this battleground district ahead of the July 21 primary. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik trails at 25% on his proven legislative record and district residency, bolstered by grassroots support and claims of internal polling leads, though independent surveys remain scarce. A May 7 GOP debate amplified attacks on Feely as a carpetbagger for switching districts, yet his financial edge sustains momentum; upcoming events like further forums could shift odds in this competitive race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоДжей Філі 72%
Джозеф Чаплік 25.4%
Джейсон Дьюї 1.4%
Метт Гресс <1%
$404,518 Обс.
$404,518 Обс.
Джей Філі
72%
Джозеф Чаплік
25%
Джейсон Дьюї
1%
Метт Гресс
1%
Джон Тробо
<1%
Кейтлін Перрінгтон
<1%
Деррік Галльєго
<1%
Тодд Грем
<1%
Карі Лейк
<1%
Джина Свобода
<1%
Марк Бронович
<1%
Пол Рівз
<1%
Мішель Удженті-Ріта
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Джей Філі 72%
Джозеф Чаплік 25.4%
Джейсон Дьюї 1.4%
Метт Гресс <1%
$404,518 Обс.
$404,518 Обс.
Джей Філі
72%
Джозеф Чаплік
25%
Джейсон Дьюї
1%
Метт Гресс
1%
Джон Тробо
<1%
Кейтлін Перрінгтон
<1%
Деррік Галльєго
<1%
Тодд Грем
<1%
Карі Лейк
<1%
Джина Свобода
<1%
Марк Бронович
<1%
Пол Рівз
<1%
Мішель Удженті-Ріта
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to his dominant first-quarter fundraising haul exceeding $740,000, Trump endorsement, and NRCC backing, positioning him as the establishment favorite to hold this battleground district ahead of the July 21 primary. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik trails at 25% on his proven legislative record and district residency, bolstered by grassroots support and claims of internal polling leads, though independent surveys remain scarce. A May 7 GOP debate amplified attacks on Feely as a carpetbagger for switching districts, yet his financial edge sustains momentum; upcoming events like further forums could shift odds in this competitive race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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