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icon for Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

icon for Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 31%

Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 23%

Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 18%

Fujimori 0–0.1% 17%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$254,599 Обс.

Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 31%

Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 23%

Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 18%

Fujimori 0–0.1% 17%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$254,599 Обс.

Fujimori 1%+

$6,384 Обс.

<1%

Fujimori 0.9–1.0%

$3,929 Обс.

<1%

Fujimori 0.8–0.9%

$3,400 Обс.

<1%

Fujimori 0.7–0.8%

$5,255 Обс.

<1%

Fujimori 0.6–0.7%

$4,555 Обс.

<1%

Fujimori 0.5–0.6%

$4,661 Обс.

<1%

Fujimori 0.4–0.5%

$21,115 Обс.

5%

Fujimori 0.3–0.4%

$35,370 Обс.

23%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$18,424 Обс.

31%

Fujimori 0.1–0.2%

$24,288 Обс.

18%

Fujimori 0–0.1%

$33,704 Обс.

17%

Sánchez 0–0.1%

$14,544 Обс.

3%

Sánchez 0.1–0.2%

$11,476 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.2–0.3%

$9,985 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.3–0.4%

$7,746 Обс.

1%

Sánchez 0.4–0.5%

$6,786 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.5–0.6%

$6,153 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.6–0.7%

$6,934 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.7–0.8%

$9,743 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.8–0.9%

$4,946 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 0.9–1.0%

$4,861 Обс.

<1%

Sánchez 1%+

$4,525 Обс.

<1%

Other

$6,649 Обс.

<1%

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in preliminary tallies, with Sánchez holding a marginal lead near 50.1% to 49.9% after 95% of ballots counted as rural areas favor him and overseas votes tilt toward Fujimori. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on sub-0.5% margins because Peru's recent presidential runoffs have repeatedly required extended counts, recounts, and legal challenges before final certification. Remaining ballots and potential procedural reviews could still shift the outcome within the narrowest brackets, reflecting the electoral system's sensitivity to small vote swings in a polarized contest.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$254,599
Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in preliminary tallies, with Sánchez holding a marginal lead near 50.1% to 49.9% after 95% of ballots counted as rural areas favor him and overseas votes tilt toward Fujimori. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on sub-0.5% margins because Peru's recent presidential runoffs have repeatedly required extended counts, recounts, and legal challenges before final certification. Remaining ballots and potential procedural reviews could still shift the outcome within the narrowest brackets, reflecting the electoral system's sensitivity to small vote swings in a polarized contest.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$254,599
Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 23 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Fujimori 0.2–0.3%» з 31%, далі «Fujimori 0.3–0.4%» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)» згенерував $254.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)», перегляньте 23 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)» — «Fujimori 0.2–0.3%» з 31%. Наступний — «Fujimori 0.3–0.4%» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.