The top-two primary system for California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial election has produced trader consensus favoring Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra to advance, driven by a crowded Democratic field that includes Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Matt Mahan, Antonio Villaraigosa, and Tony Thurmond. Recent Emerson College polling showed Becerra at 19 percent among Democrats, yet vote splitting among multiple candidates has kept Republican support consolidated behind Hilton, who received a Trump endorsement that boosted his position over Chad Bianco. Late-April debates highlighted policy contrasts on housing, crime, and taxes without shifting the frontrunners, while mail-in voting begins soon. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final consolidation among Democratic voters before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$659,628 Обс.
Стів Гілтон
72%
Ксав'єр Бесерра
68%
Tom Steyer
33%
Матт Махан
5%
Джиммі Паркер
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Антоніо Вільяраїгоса
3%
Чад Б’янко
3%
Раян Тіллман
2%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Елейн Кулотті
2%
Ерік Сволвелл
2%
Бетті Ї
2%
Тандер Парлей
2%
Нікі Мінаж
2%
Че Ан
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Іан Кальдерон
2%
Брендон Джонс
2%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Кароліна Бюлер
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Раджі Раб
1%
Буч Вейр
1%
Дерек Грейсті
1%
Софія Брінк
1%
Даніель Меркурі
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Ніколас Томпсон
1%
Девід Серпа
1%
Ремсі Робінсон
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Ділан Колберт
1%
Шаріфах Гарді
<1%
$659,628 Обс.
Стів Гілтон
72%
Ксав'єр Бесерра
68%
Tom Steyer
33%
Матт Махан
5%
Джиммі Паркер
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Антоніо Вільяраїгоса
3%
Чад Б’янко
3%
Раян Тіллман
2%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Елейн Кулотті
2%
Ерік Сволвелл
2%
Бетті Ї
2%
Тандер Парлей
2%
Нікі Мінаж
2%
Че Ан
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Іан Кальдерон
2%
Брендон Джонс
2%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Кароліна Бюлер
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Раджі Раб
1%
Буч Вейр
1%
Дерек Грейсті
1%
Софія Брінк
1%
Даніель Меркурі
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Ніколас Томпсон
1%
Девід Серпа
1%
Ремсі Робінсон
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Ділан Колберт
1%
Шаріфах Гарді
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The top-two primary system for California's June 2, 2026 gubernatorial election has produced trader consensus favoring Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra to advance, driven by a crowded Democratic field that includes Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Matt Mahan, Antonio Villaraigosa, and Tony Thurmond. Recent Emerson College polling showed Becerra at 19 percent among Democrats, yet vote splitting among multiple candidates has kept Republican support consolidated behind Hilton, who received a Trump endorsement that boosted his position over Chad Bianco. Late-April debates highlighted policy contrasts on housing, crime, and taxes without shifting the frontrunners, while mail-in voting begins soon. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any final consolidation among Democratic voters before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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