Recent constituency polls, including Survation and Opinium surveys from early to mid-June 2026, have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at approximately 7% in Makerfield, behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon. The by-election on 18 June follows Josh Simons’ resignation and features a right-wing vote split between Restore Britain, founded by Rupert Lowe, and Reform UK. Canvassing claims of higher support have not translated into polling gains, while focus on the Burnham-Reform contest has limited Restore’s visibility. Traders view these results and the party’s limited local infrastructure as the main reasons the 10% threshold is unlikely to be cleared.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
$18,882 Обс.
$18,882 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
$18,882 Обс.
$18,882 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polls, including Survation and Opinium surveys from early to mid-June 2026, have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at approximately 7% in Makerfield, behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon. The by-election on 18 June follows Josh Simons’ resignation and features a right-wing vote split between Restore Britain, founded by Rupert Lowe, and Reform UK. Canvassing claims of higher support have not translated into polling gains, while focus on the Burnham-Reform contest has limited Restore’s visibility. Traders view these results and the party’s limited local infrastructure as the main reasons the 10% threshold is unlikely to be cleared.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,882Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polls, including Survation and Opinium surveys from early to mid-June 2026, have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at approximately 7% in Makerfield, behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon. The by-election on 18 June follows Josh Simons’ resignation and features a right-wing vote split between Restore Britain, founded by Rupert Lowe, and Reform UK. Canvassing claims of higher support have not translated into polling gains, while focus on the Burnham-Reform contest has limited Restore’s visibility. Traders view these results and the party’s limited local infrastructure as the main reasons the 10% threshold is unlikely to be cleared.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Обсяг
$18,890Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent constituency polls, including Survation and Opinium surveys from early to mid-June 2026, have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at approximately 7% in Makerfield, behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon. The by-election on 18 June follows Josh Simons’ resignation and features a right-wing vote split between Restore Britain, founded by Rupert Lowe, and Reform UK. Canvassing claims of higher support have not translated into polling gains, while focus on the Burnham-Reform contest has limited Restore’s visibility. Traders view these results and the party’s limited local infrastructure as the main reasons the 10% threshold is unlikely to be cleared.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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