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Політика·Первинні

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 65%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Mike Bouchard 65%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Mike Bouchard

$2,122 Обс.

65%

Steven Elliott

$1,799 Обс.

19%

Casey Armitage

$2,338 Обс.

7%

Justin Kirk

$847 Обс.

5%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,116 Обс.

43%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$9,222
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$9,222
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MI-10 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mike Bouchard» з 65%, далі «Robert Lulgjuraj» з 43%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«MI-10 Republican Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Dec 18, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «MI-10 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MI-10 Republican Primary Winner» — «Mike Bouchard» з 65%. Наступний — «Robert Lulgjuraj» з 43%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MI-10 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.