Xavier Becerra’s narrow primary win stems from a fragmented Democratic field that split votes among Tom Steyer, Katie Porter and others, while Steve Hilton consolidated Republican support after securing the Trump endorsement and outpacing Chad Bianco. Late consolidation behind Becerra, including key endorsements and turnout among core Democratic voters, produced his slim lead of roughly three points in final tallies from the June 2 top-two primary. The market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5% margin reflects this outcome and the low probability of major shifts from remaining ballots or certification. A recount or unexpected late vote surge favoring Hilton could still narrow or reverse the gap, though historical patterns in California primaries make such reversals rare once leads exceed two points.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBecerra <5% 95.0%
Becerra 5–10% 3.0%
Becerra 10%+ 2.7%
Hilton Wins 1.0%
$31,307 Обс.
$31,307 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
Becerra 10%+
3%
Becerra 5–10%
3%
Becerra <5%
95%
Steyer 5%+
<1%
Steyer <5%
1%
Hilton Wins
1%
Bianco Wins
<1%
Becerra <5% 95.0%
Becerra 5–10% 3.0%
Becerra 10%+ 2.7%
Hilton Wins 1.0%
$31,307 Обс.
$31,307 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
Becerra 10%+
$6,413 Обс.
3%
Becerra 5–10%
$12,571 Обс.
3%
Becerra <5%
$5,270 Обс.
95%
Steyer 5%+
$1,486 Обс.
<1%
Steyer <5%
$2,028 Обс.
1%
Hilton Wins
$2,867 Обс.
1%
Bianco Wins
$673 Обс.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Xavier Becerra’s narrow primary win stems from a fragmented Democratic field that split votes among Tom Steyer, Katie Porter and others, while Steve Hilton consolidated Republican support after securing the Trump endorsement and outpacing Chad Bianco. Late consolidation behind Becerra, including key endorsements and turnout among core Democratic voters, produced his slim lead of roughly three points in final tallies from the June 2 top-two primary. The market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5% margin reflects this outcome and the low probability of major shifts from remaining ballots or certification. A recount or unexpected late vote surge favoring Hilton could still narrow or reverse the gap, though historical patterns in California primaries make such reversals rare once leads exceed two points.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,307Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Xavier Becerra’s narrow primary win stems from a fragmented Democratic field that split votes among Tom Steyer, Katie Porter and others, while Steve Hilton consolidated Republican support after securing the Trump endorsement and outpacing Chad Bianco. Late consolidation behind Becerra, including key endorsements and turnout among core Democratic voters, produced his slim lead of roughly three points in final tallies from the June 2 top-two primary. The market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5% margin reflects this outcome and the low probability of major shifts from remaining ballots or certification. A recount or unexpected late vote surge favoring Hilton could still narrow or reverse the gap, though historical patterns in California primaries make such reversals rare once leads exceed two points.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$31,307Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra’s narrow primary win stems from a fragmented Democratic field that split votes among Tom Steyer, Katie Porter and others, while Steve Hilton consolidated Republican support after securing the Trump endorsement and outpacing Chad Bianco. Late consolidation behind Becerra, including key endorsements and turnout among core Democratic voters, produced his slim lead of roughly three points in final tallies from the June 2 top-two primary. The market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5% margin reflects this outcome and the low probability of major shifts from remaining ballots or certification. A recount or unexpected late vote surge favoring Hilton could still narrow or reverse the gap, though historical patterns in California primaries make such reversals rare once leads exceed two points.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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