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Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 93.3%

Aisha Farooqi 2.4%

Andy Levin 1.4%

Don Ufford <1%

Polymarket

$20,497 Обс.

Jeremy Moss 93.3%

Aisha Farooqi 2.4%

Andy Levin 1.4%

Don Ufford <1%

Polymarket

$20,497 Обс.

Jeremy Moss

$9,117 Обс.

93%

Aisha Farooqi

$6,093 Обс.

2%

Andy Levin

$4,071 Обс.

1%

Don Ufford

$654 Обс.

1%

Dave Woodward

$563 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,497
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,497
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jeremy Moss» з 93%, далі «Aisha Farooqi» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $20.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Jeremy Moss» з 93%. Наступний — «Aisha Farooqi» з 2%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.