Trader consensus reflects near-certain expectations for FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its current mid-June 2026 expiration, following Congress's April 30 passage of a 45-day extension after earlier short-term fixes and failed three-year proposals amid reform debates. Bipartisan support for this key warrantless foreign surveillance authority—vital for counterterrorism and national security intelligence—has historically prevailed despite privacy concerns over incidental U.S. person data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal drama resolved via must-pass legislation. House passage of extensions (e.g., 235-191 vote) and leadership statements from figures like Intelligence Committee Chairman Crawford underscore momentum, with negotiations likely tying it to the National Defense Authorization Act. Unlikely disruptions include a unified Senate holdout for warrant requirements or revelations of new FBI query abuses, though procedural delays remain possible.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$40,901 Обс.
$40,901 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,901 Обс.
$40,901 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certain expectations for FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its current mid-June 2026 expiration, following Congress's April 30 passage of a 45-day extension after earlier short-term fixes and failed three-year proposals amid reform debates. Bipartisan support for this key warrantless foreign surveillance authority—vital for counterterrorism and national security intelligence—has historically prevailed despite privacy concerns over incidental U.S. person data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal drama resolved via must-pass legislation. House passage of extensions (e.g., 235-191 vote) and leadership statements from figures like Intelligence Committee Chairman Crawford underscore momentum, with negotiations likely tying it to the National Defense Authorization Act. Unlikely disruptions include a unified Senate holdout for warrant requirements or revelations of new FBI query abuses, though procedural delays remain possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,901Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certain expectations for FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its current mid-June 2026 expiration, following Congress's April 30 passage of a 45-day extension after earlier short-term fixes and failed three-year proposals amid reform debates. Bipartisan support for this key warrantless foreign surveillance authority—vital for counterterrorism and national security intelligence—has historically prevailed despite privacy concerns over incidental U.S. person data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal drama resolved via must-pass legislation. House passage of extensions (e.g., 235-191 vote) and leadership statements from figures like Intelligence Committee Chairman Crawford underscore momentum, with negotiations likely tying it to the National Defense Authorization Act. Unlikely disruptions include a unified Senate holdout for warrant requirements or revelations of new FBI query abuses, though procedural delays remain possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$40,901Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certain expectations for FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its current mid-June 2026 expiration, following Congress's April 30 passage of a 45-day extension after earlier short-term fixes and failed three-year proposals amid reform debates. Bipartisan support for this key warrantless foreign surveillance authority—vital for counterterrorism and national security intelligence—has historically prevailed despite privacy concerns over incidental U.S. person data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal drama resolved via must-pass legislation. House passage of extensions (e.g., 235-191 vote) and leadership statements from figures like Intelligence Committee Chairman Crawford underscore momentum, with negotiations likely tying it to the National Defense Authorization Act. Unlikely disruptions include a unified Senate holdout for warrant requirements or revelations of new FBI query abuses, though procedural delays remain possible.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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