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icon for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

icon for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

25% шанс
Polymarket

$18,646 Обс.

25% шанс
Polymarket

$18,646 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s term as European Central Bank president runs through October 2027. Recent statements have reinforced trader expectations that she will complete 2026 in the role. In July 2026 she explicitly pledged to remain at least through year-end, participate in upcoming rate decisions, and dismissed near-term speculation tied to French political ambitions, while leaving open a possible departure before her full mandate ends. Earlier 2026 reporting on an early exit to allow French and German leaders input on succession has not produced confirmed plans or timelines that would shift outcomes inside the calendar year. With no scheduled leadership vote, resignation announcement, or institutional pressure points before December 2026, the current 75.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verified catalysts for a 2026 departure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$18,646
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s term as European Central Bank president runs through October 2027. Recent statements have reinforced trader expectations that she will complete 2026 in the role. In July 2026 she explicitly pledged to remain at least through year-end, participate in upcoming rate decisions, and dismissed near-term speculation tied to French political ambitions, while leaving open a possible departure before her full mandate ends. Earlier 2026 reporting on an early exit to allow French and German leaders input on succession has not produced confirmed plans or timelines that would shift outcomes inside the calendar year. With no scheduled leadership vote, resignation announcement, or institutional pressure points before December 2026, the current 75.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verified catalysts for a 2026 departure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$18,646
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 25% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 25¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 25%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» згенерував $18.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» — 25% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 25% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.