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icon for Clacton by-election: Turnout
Політика·UK

Clacton by-election: Turnout

icon for Clacton by-election: Turnout
Політика·UK

Clacton by-election: Turnout

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Обс.

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Обс.

<10k

$1,082 Обс.

No

10k-20k

$16,258 Обс.

No

20k-30k

$11,654 Обс.

No

30k-40k

$18,749 Обс.

Yes

40k-50k

$6,431 Обс.

No

50k-60k

$1,753 Обс.

No

60k+

$2,388 Обс.

No

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Обсяг
$58,316
Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Обсяг
$58,316
Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Clacton by-election: Turnout» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «30k-40k» з 100%, далі «<10k» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Clacton by-election: Turnout» згенерував $58.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Clacton by-election: Turnout», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Clacton by-election: Turnout» — «30k-40k» з 100%. Наступний — «<10k» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Clacton by-election: Turnout» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.