Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 14-21 window sits in a tight contest between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges, with implied probabilities of 24.5% and 23.5%, because his posting pace typically accelerates or dips in response to breaking political, business, and technology headlines. Traders weigh his established pattern of high-engagement commentary during active news cycles against quieter stretches when focus shifts to internal company matters or travel. Recent days have featured steady but not record output, keeping both brackets in play as the period nears its close on August 21. The distribution of lower-probability buckets reflects the inherent variability in daily activity and the challenge of forecasting exact thresholds in a single week.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено140-159 25%
160-179 24%
120-139 18.7%
180-199 18%
$781,424 Обс.
$781,424 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
7%
120-139
19%
140-159
25%
160-179
24%
180-199
18%
200-219
8%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 25%
160-179 24%
120-139 18.7%
180-199 18%
$781,424 Обс.
$781,424 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
$1,883 Обс.
<1%
60-79
$44,045 Обс.
<1%
80-99
$81,342 Обс.
<1%
100-119
$84,837 Обс.
7%
120-139
$52,779 Обс.
19%
140-159
$15,382 Обс.
25%
160-179
$20,883 Обс.
24%
180-199
$26,880 Обс.
18%
200-219
$16,595 Обс.
8%
220-239
$12,507 Обс.
3%
240-259
$15,799 Обс.
1%
260-279
$22,823 Обс.
1%
280-299
$48,831 Обс.
<1%
300-319
$50,734 Обс.
<1%
320-339
$56,042 Обс.
<1%
340-359
$38,794 Обс.
<1%
360-379
$35,717 Обс.
<1%
380-399
$43,006 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$28,243 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$10,328 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$7,201 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$6,646 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$6,646 Обс.
<1%
500+
$48,717 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 14-21 window sits in a tight contest between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges, with implied probabilities of 24.5% and 23.5%, because his posting pace typically accelerates or dips in response to breaking political, business, and technology headlines. Traders weigh his established pattern of high-engagement commentary during active news cycles against quieter stretches when focus shifts to internal company matters or travel. Recent days have featured steady but not record output, keeping both brackets in play as the period nears its close on August 21. The distribution of lower-probability buckets reflects the inherent variability in daily activity and the challenge of forecasting exact thresholds in a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$781,424Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 14-21 window sits in a tight contest between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges, with implied probabilities of 24.5% and 23.5%, because his posting pace typically accelerates or dips in response to breaking political, business, and technology headlines. Traders weigh his established pattern of high-engagement commentary during active news cycles against quieter stretches when focus shifts to internal company matters or travel. Recent days have featured steady but not record output, keeping both brackets in play as the period nears its close on August 21. The distribution of lower-probability buckets reflects the inherent variability in daily activity and the challenge of forecasting exact thresholds in a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$781,424Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 14-21 window sits in a tight contest between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges, with implied probabilities of 24.5% and 23.5%, because his posting pace typically accelerates or dips in response to breaking political, business, and technology headlines. Traders weigh his established pattern of high-engagement commentary during active news cycles against quieter stretches when focus shifts to internal company matters or travel. Recent days have featured steady but not record output, keeping both brackets in play as the period nears its close on August 21. The distribution of lower-probability buckets reflects the inherent variability in daily activity and the challenge of forecasting exact thresholds in a single week.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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