Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
200-219 17%
240-259 15%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
9%
100-119
7%
120-139
6%
140-159
7%
160-179
7%
180-199
15%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
15%
260-279
11%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
10%
400-419
11%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 17%
240-259 15%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
<20
$1,675 Обс.
<1%
20-39
$1,645 Обс.
<1%
40-59
$1,645 Обс.
<1%
60-79
$826 Обс.
<1%
80-99
$10 Обс.
9%
100-119
$35 Обс.
7%
120-139
$25 Обс.
6%
140-159
$15 Обс.
7%
160-179
$15 Обс.
7%
180-199
$1,213 Обс.
15%
200-219
$15 Обс.
17%
220-239
$15 Обс.
15%
240-259
$54 Обс.
15%
260-279
$15 Обс.
11%
280-299
$15 Обс.
9%
300-319
$82 Обс.
9%
320-339
$428 Обс.
3%
340-359
$586 Обс.
2%
360-379
$115 Обс.
1%
380-399
$10 Обс.
10%
400-419
$10 Обс.
11%
420-439
$177 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$25 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$25 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$125 Обс.
<1%
500+
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,826Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$8,826Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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