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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series

Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%

Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.5%

Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.7%

Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.4%

Polymarket

$29,513 Обс.

Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%

Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.5%

Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.7%

Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.4%

Polymarket

$29,513 Обс.

Jean Smart – “Hacks”

$20,176 Обс.

91%

Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”

$2,407 Обс.

5%

Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”

$2,723 Обс.

4%

Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”

$2,103 Обс.

2%

Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”

$2,103 Обс.

1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$29,513
Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$29,513
Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jean Smart – “Hacks”» з 91%, далі «Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series» згенерував $29.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series» — «Jean Smart – “Hacks”» з 91%. Наступний — «Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.