Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied probability for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series leads trader consensus following the July 8 nominations and strong final-round momentum for his breakout turn as Robbie in HBO’s “Task.” Three nominees from the season’s most-nominated series, “The Pitt,” create a realistic vote-split risk that has elevated Pelphrey’s positioning despite “The Pitt” securing 25 total nods and dominant guild and critical support. Patrick Ball (33.5%) benefits from the show’s overall narrative as frontrunner, while Shawn Hatosy (12.4%) and lower-priced options like Billy Crudup and Jack Lowden trail amid the crowded field. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst, with historical precedent favoring standalone performances when one program fields multiple contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 46%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 34%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” 12.3%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 5.3%
$35,184 Обс.
$35,184 Обс.
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
46%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
34%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
12%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
5%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
2%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
1%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 46%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 34%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” 12.3%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 5.3%
$35,184 Обс.
$35,184 Обс.
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
46%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
34%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
12%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
5%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
2%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied probability for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series leads trader consensus following the July 8 nominations and strong final-round momentum for his breakout turn as Robbie in HBO’s “Task.” Three nominees from the season’s most-nominated series, “The Pitt,” create a realistic vote-split risk that has elevated Pelphrey’s positioning despite “The Pitt” securing 25 total nods and dominant guild and critical support. Patrick Ball (33.5%) benefits from the show’s overall narrative as frontrunner, while Shawn Hatosy (12.4%) and lower-priced options like Billy Crudup and Jack Lowden trail amid the crowded field. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst, with historical precedent favoring standalone performances when one program fields multiple contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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