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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Australia 75%

Bulgaria 20.6%

Ukraine 4.7%

Romania 2.4%

Polymarket

$218,942 Обс.

Australia 75%

Bulgaria 20.6%

Ukraine 4.7%

Romania 2.4%

Polymarket

$218,942 Обс.

Australia

$45,047 Обс.

75%

Bulgaria

$16,474 Обс.

21%

Ukraine

$14,479 Обс.

5%

Romania

$18,088 Обс.

2%

Denmark

$47,569 Обс.

1%

Norway

$9,016 Обс.

1%

Czechia

$9,803 Обс.

1%

Albania

$9,119 Обс.

1%

Cyprus

$6,922 Обс.

<1%

Malta

$8,110 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Delta Goodrem’s commanding performance of the power ballad “Eclipse” for Australia has driven overwhelming trader sentiment in the second semi-final market, positioning her entry as the clear frontrunner with dominant implied probability. The note-perfect vocals and cinematic staging resonated strongly with both juries and audiences during the May 14 Vienna broadcast, propelling Australia’s odds dramatically higher ahead of the May 16 grand final. Bulgaria’s Dara with the energetic “Bangaranga” retains solid support as the main challenger after also qualifying comfortably, yet lacks the same broad crossover appeal. Lower-placed entries like Ukraine and Romania remain distant due to comparatively modest audience reaction and limited post-semi momentum, leaving little room for late shifts before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$218,942
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Delta Goodrem’s commanding performance of the power ballad “Eclipse” for Australia has driven overwhelming trader sentiment in the second semi-final market, positioning her entry as the clear frontrunner with dominant implied probability. The note-perfect vocals and cinematic staging resonated strongly with both juries and audiences during the May 14 Vienna broadcast, propelling Australia’s odds dramatically higher ahead of the May 16 grand final. Bulgaria’s Dara with the energetic “Bangaranga” retains solid support as the main challenger after also qualifying comfortably, yet lacks the same broad crossover appeal. Lower-placed entries like Ukraine and Romania remain distant due to comparatively modest audience reaction and limited post-semi momentum, leaving little room for late shifts before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$218,942
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Australia» з 75%, далі «Bulgaria» з 21%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner» згенерував $218.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner» — «Australia» з 75%. Наступний — «Bulgaria» з 21%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.