Australia's commanding lead in the Second Semi-Final market stems from Delta Goodrem's polished power ballad "Eclipse," which earned strong jury and public backing during recent rehearsals and the jury show in Vienna. Traders have piled into the 69.5% implied probability after the Australian entry consistently topped post-rehearsal odds, reflecting its classic Celine Dion-style appeal that historically resonates with both televoters and professional juries. Ukraine sits second at 12.2% on the strength of Leléka's emotional "Ridnym" and the nation's consistent semi-final pedigree, while Bulgaria and Romania hold mid-tier positions around 10% and 6.5% respectively on the back of energetic staging and regional voting blocs. With the final set for Saturday, late momentum shifts remain possible if standout performances emerge in the remaining run-throughs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,698 Обс.
$197,698 Обс.
Australia
70%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Romania
6%
Denmark
2%
Norway
1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,698 Обс.
$197,698 Обс.
Australia
70%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Romania
6%
Denmark
2%
Norway
1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia's commanding lead in the Second Semi-Final market stems from Delta Goodrem's polished power ballad "Eclipse," which earned strong jury and public backing during recent rehearsals and the jury show in Vienna. Traders have piled into the 69.5% implied probability after the Australian entry consistently topped post-rehearsal odds, reflecting its classic Celine Dion-style appeal that historically resonates with both televoters and professional juries. Ukraine sits second at 12.2% on the strength of Leléka's emotional "Ridnym" and the nation's consistent semi-final pedigree, while Bulgaria and Romania hold mid-tier positions around 10% and 6.5% respectively on the back of energetic staging and regional voting blocs. With the final set for Saturday, late momentum shifts remain possible if standout performances emerge in the remaining run-throughs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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