Israel leads the Eurovision 2026 third-place market at 42% implied probability after strong semi-final qualifiers and Vienna rehearsals showcased Noam Bettan’s emotive “Michelle” as a jury-televote hybrid with solid momentum but limited outright win upside. Australia sits second at 22.5% on Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse,” which dominates jury projections yet faces televote competition that caps its ceiling below Finland’s frontrunner status. Greece follows at 25% thanks to consistent campaign traction for Akylas’s “Ferto,” while Sweden benefits from rehearsal buzz and Nordic voting blocs positioning Felicia’s entry for a possible podium finish. These probabilities reflect the grand-final running order and recent semi-final results ahead of tonight’s Vienna showdown.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Australia 23%
Bulgaria 22.0%
Sweden 21.6%
Finland 18%
$41,770 Обс.
$41,770 Обс.
Australia
12%
Bulgaria
16%
Sweden
22%
Finland
18%
Italy
12%
Ukraine
11%
Denmark
5%
Greece
25%
Moldova
3%
Lithuania
2%
Romania
2%
Serbia
2%
Croatia
1%
Armenia
1%
France
1%
Cyprus
16%
United Kingdom
1%
Belgium
1%
Albania
1%
Czechia
1%
Austria
1%
Malta
1%
Georgia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Norway
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Germany
<1%
Poland
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Israel
44%
Australia 23%
Bulgaria 22.0%
Sweden 21.6%
Finland 18%
$41,770 Обс.
$41,770 Обс.
Australia
12%
Bulgaria
16%
Sweden
22%
Finland
18%
Italy
12%
Ukraine
11%
Denmark
5%
Greece
25%
Moldova
3%
Lithuania
2%
Romania
2%
Serbia
2%
Croatia
1%
Armenia
1%
France
1%
Cyprus
16%
United Kingdom
1%
Belgium
1%
Albania
1%
Czechia
1%
Austria
1%
Malta
1%
Georgia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Norway
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Germany
<1%
Poland
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Israel
44%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel leads the Eurovision 2026 third-place market at 42% implied probability after strong semi-final qualifiers and Vienna rehearsals showcased Noam Bettan’s emotive “Michelle” as a jury-televote hybrid with solid momentum but limited outright win upside. Australia sits second at 22.5% on Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse,” which dominates jury projections yet faces televote competition that caps its ceiling below Finland’s frontrunner status. Greece follows at 25% thanks to consistent campaign traction for Akylas’s “Ferto,” while Sweden benefits from rehearsal buzz and Nordic voting blocs positioning Felicia’s entry for a possible podium finish. These probabilities reflect the grand-final running order and recent semi-final results ahead of tonight’s Vienna showdown.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання