Sue Hickey holds the leading position in the Glenorchy mayoral market at 64.5% implied probability as the incumbent, having won a 2024 by-election after serving as deputy mayor and previously as Hobart Lord Mayor. Traders appear to price in her established profile, council experience, and February 2026 announcement of a re-election bid focused on ongoing infrastructure and community priorities ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections. Russell Yaxley, the current deputy mayor who challenged unsuccessfully in 2024, sits at 24.5%, while Nathan Volf registers at 8.5% following his recent candidacy announcement. Numerous other listed candidates remain at 50%, reflecting limited public information or organized support at this pre-nomination stage. The Tasmanian Electoral Commission will conduct the postal ballot, with results expected shortly after polling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSue Hickey 65%
Russell Yaxley 25%
Nathan Volf 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 27, 2026
Sue Hickey
65%
Russell Yaxley
25%
Nathan Volf
10%
Sue Hickey 65%
Russell Yaxley 25%
Nathan Volf 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 27, 2026
Sue Hickey
$0 Обс.
65%
Russell Yaxley
$10 Обс.
25%
Nathan Volf
$341 Обс.
10%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Sue Hickey holds the leading position in the Glenorchy mayoral market at 64.5% implied probability as the incumbent, having won a 2024 by-election after serving as deputy mayor and previously as Hobart Lord Mayor. Traders appear to price in her established profile, council experience, and February 2026 announcement of a re-election bid focused on ongoing infrastructure and community priorities ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections. Russell Yaxley, the current deputy mayor who challenged unsuccessfully in 2024, sits at 24.5%, while Nathan Volf registers at 8.5% following his recent candidacy announcement. Numerous other listed candidates remain at 50%, reflecting limited public information or organized support at this pre-nomination stage. The Tasmanian Electoral Commission will conduct the postal ballot, with results expected shortly after polling.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$351Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Sue Hickey holds the leading position in the Glenorchy mayoral market at 64.5% implied probability as the incumbent, having won a 2024 by-election after serving as deputy mayor and previously as Hobart Lord Mayor. Traders appear to price in her established profile, council experience, and February 2026 announcement of a re-election bid focused on ongoing infrastructure and community priorities ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections. Russell Yaxley, the current deputy mayor who challenged unsuccessfully in 2024, sits at 24.5%, while Nathan Volf registers at 8.5% following his recent candidacy announcement. Numerous other listed candidates remain at 50%, reflecting limited public information or organized support at this pre-nomination stage. The Tasmanian Electoral Commission will conduct the postal ballot, with results expected shortly after polling.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Обсяг
$351Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Sue Hickey holds the leading position in the Glenorchy mayoral market at 64.5% implied probability as the incumbent, having won a 2024 by-election after serving as deputy mayor and previously as Hobart Lord Mayor. Traders appear to price in her established profile, council experience, and February 2026 announcement of a re-election bid focused on ongoing infrastructure and community priorities ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections. Russell Yaxley, the current deputy mayor who challenged unsuccessfully in 2024, sits at 24.5%, while Nathan Volf registers at 8.5% following his recent candidacy announcement. Numerous other listed candidates remain at 50%, reflecting limited public information or organized support at this pre-nomination stage. The Tasmanian Electoral Commission will conduct the postal ballot, with results expected shortly after polling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання