Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. As the sitting governor with an approval rating near 56 percent and credit for managing the 2023 Maui wildfires, Green faces no significant Republican challengers ahead of the August primary and November general election. Hawaii's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent partisan voting patterns and ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report labeling the race Solid Democratic, limits GOP prospects. Traders price in the low likelihood of an upset absent a major scandal, health issue, or late-emerging credible opponent capable of narrowing the structural gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$2,851 Обс.
91%
Republican
$4,019 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. As the sitting governor with an approval rating near 56 percent and credit for managing the 2023 Maui wildfires, Green faces no significant Republican challengers ahead of the August primary and November general election. Hawaii's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent partisan voting patterns and ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report labeling the race Solid Democratic, limits GOP prospects. Traders price in the low likelihood of an upset absent a major scandal, health issue, or late-emerging credible opponent capable of narrowing the structural gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,871Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. As the sitting governor with an approval rating near 56 percent and credit for managing the 2023 Maui wildfires, Green faces no significant Republican challengers ahead of the August primary and November general election. Hawaii's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent partisan voting patterns and ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report labeling the race Solid Democratic, limits GOP prospects. Traders price in the low likelihood of an upset absent a major scandal, health issue, or late-emerging credible opponent capable of narrowing the structural gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$6,871Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. As the sitting governor with an approval rating near 56 percent and credit for managing the 2023 Maui wildfires, Green faces no significant Republican challengers ahead of the August primary and November general election. Hawaii's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent partisan voting patterns and ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report labeling the race Solid Democratic, limits GOP prospects. Traders price in the low likelihood of an upset absent a major scandal, health issue, or late-emerging credible opponent capable of narrowing the structural gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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