Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 9, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns and minimal warm advection, support only modest daytime warming above seasonal normals of 15–17°C. Updated short-range guidance shows limited cloud cover and light winds that should cap any late-day rise, while overnight cooling to the mid-30s °F reinforces the daily maximum. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official reading one degree higher or lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 9?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 9?
14°C 50%
13°C 23%
15°C 16%
12°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
23%
14°C
50%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 50%
13°C 23%
15°C 16%
12°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
8°C or below
$1,191 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$1,840 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$10 Обс.
2%
11°C
$73 Обс.
3%
12°C
$176 Обс.
7%
13°C
$341 Обс.
23%
14°C
$1,972 Обс.
50%
15°C
$508 Обс.
16%
16°C
$39 Обс.
2%
17°C
$99 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 9, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns and minimal warm advection, support only modest daytime warming above seasonal normals of 15–17°C. Updated short-range guidance shows limited cloud cover and light winds that should cap any late-day rise, while overnight cooling to the mid-30s °F reinforces the daily maximum. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official reading one degree higher or lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,259Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 9, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns and minimal warm advection, support only modest daytime warming above seasonal normals of 15–17°C. Updated short-range guidance shows limited cloud cover and light winds that should cap any late-day rise, while overnight cooling to the mid-30s °F reinforces the daily maximum. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official reading one degree higher or lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,259Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 9, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns and minimal warm advection, support only modest daytime warming above seasonal normals of 15–17°C. Updated short-range guidance shows limited cloud cover and light winds that should cap any late-day rise, while overnight cooling to the mid-30s °F reinforces the daily maximum. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official reading one degree higher or lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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