**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 2?
36°C 29%
35°C 24%
34°C 11%
37°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
11%
35°C
24%
36°C
27%
37°C
11%
38°C or higher
5%
36°C 29%
35°C 24%
34°C 11%
37°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
29°C
$30 Обс.
1%
30°C
$35 Обс.
1%
31°C
$81 Обс.
4%
32°C
$67 Обс.
4%
33°C
$20 Обс.
6%
34°C
$28 Обс.
11%
35°C
$239 Обс.
24%
36°C
$11 Обс.
27%
37°C
$88 Обс.
11%
38°C or higher
$62 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$458Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$458Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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