Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate high pressure building over southern England after Friday's rain clears, delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds on September 5. These conditions favor maximum temperatures of 22–23 °C, with afternoon readings near 23 °C under sunny spells and dew points in the low teens supporting modest diurnal warming. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligns with early-September climatology for London, where highs typically reach 19–22 °C; the slight elevation reflects reduced cloud cover rather than anomalous advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22–24 °C because updated guidance shows little scope for stronger warming or cooler marine influence, though small timing shifts in clearing could still adjust the peak by 1 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 5?
Highest temperature in London on September 5?
23°C 57%
22°C 27%
24°C 13%
21°C 4%
НОВЕ
$15,019 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,019 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
27%
23°C
57%
24°C
13%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 57%
22°C 27%
24°C 13%
21°C 4%
НОВЕ
$15,019 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,019 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$1,019 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$250 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$385 Обс.
2%
21°C
$1,180 Обс.
4%
22°C
$2,725 Обс.
27%
23°C
$3,414 Обс.
57%
24°C
$1,590 Обс.
13%
25°C
$362 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$634 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$561 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,916 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate high pressure building over southern England after Friday's rain clears, delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds on September 5. These conditions favor maximum temperatures of 22–23 °C, with afternoon readings near 23 °C under sunny spells and dew points in the low teens supporting modest diurnal warming. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligns with early-September climatology for London, where highs typically reach 19–22 °C; the slight elevation reflects reduced cloud cover rather than anomalous advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22–24 °C because updated guidance shows little scope for stronger warming or cooler marine influence, though small timing shifts in clearing could still adjust the peak by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,019Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate high pressure building over southern England after Friday's rain clears, delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds on September 5. These conditions favor maximum temperatures of 22–23 °C, with afternoon readings near 23 °C under sunny spells and dew points in the low teens supporting modest diurnal warming. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligns with early-September climatology for London, where highs typically reach 19–22 °C; the slight elevation reflects reduced cloud cover rather than anomalous advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22–24 °C because updated guidance shows little scope for stronger warming or cooler marine influence, though small timing shifts in clearing could still adjust the peak by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,019Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate high pressure building over southern England after Friday's rain clears, delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds on September 5. These conditions favor maximum temperatures of 22–23 °C, with afternoon readings near 23 °C under sunny spells and dew points in the low teens supporting modest diurnal warming. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligns with early-September climatology for London, where highs typically reach 19–22 °C; the slight elevation reflects reduced cloud cover rather than anomalous advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22–24 °C because updated guidance shows little scope for stronger warming or cooler marine influence, though small timing shifts in clearing could still adjust the peak by 1 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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