Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a Seattle high on August 15 near 78–81°F, driven by moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air that curbs daytime heating despite the Pacific Northwest’s warmer-than-average summer pattern. This produces the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, while the spread across 76–77°F and higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty over exact sea-breeze timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Climatological August highs average near 77°F, so traders weigh short-term forecast revisions against historical precedent when adjusting positions ahead of the next model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$10 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$368 Обс.
9%
76-77°F
$466 Обс.
21%
78-79°F
$322 Обс.
34%
80-81°F
$684 Обс.
24%
82-83°F
$172 Обс.
8%
84-85°F
$191 Обс.
3%
86-87°F
$230 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$26 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$306 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a Seattle high on August 15 near 78–81°F, driven by moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air that curbs daytime heating despite the Pacific Northwest’s warmer-than-average summer pattern. This produces the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, while the spread across 76–77°F and higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty over exact sea-breeze timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Climatological August highs average near 77°F, so traders weigh short-term forecast revisions against historical precedent when adjusting positions ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,135Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a Seattle high on August 15 near 78–81°F, driven by moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air that curbs daytime heating despite the Pacific Northwest’s warmer-than-average summer pattern. This produces the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, while the spread across 76–77°F and higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty over exact sea-breeze timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Climatological August highs average near 77°F, so traders weigh short-term forecast revisions against historical precedent when adjusting positions ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,135Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a Seattle high on August 15 near 78–81°F, driven by moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air that curbs daytime heating despite the Pacific Northwest’s warmer-than-average summer pattern. This produces the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, while the spread across 76–77°F and higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty over exact sea-breeze timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Climatological August highs average near 77°F, so traders weigh short-term forecast revisions against historical precedent when adjusting positions ahead of the next model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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