Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 1, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 1, 2026
59°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$10 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
14%
64-65°F
$49 Обс.
26%
66-67°F
$52 Обс.
34%
68-69°F
$284 Обс.
18%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
6%
72-73°F
$650 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$956 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$125 Обс.
1%
78°F or higher
$60 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,190Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,190Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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