Official forecasts for Incheon on September 15, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwest winds, and a maximum near 25°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs typically range 24–27°C. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 24–26°C, with low precipitation risk limiting variability, though slight differences in timing of peak heating could nudge the exact value. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological factors heavily, as updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration would likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
25°C 55%
24°C 21%
26°C 21%
27°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
21%
25°C
55%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 55%
24°C 21%
26°C 21%
27°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$132 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$132 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$398 Обс.
1%
22°C
$540 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$324 Обс.
4%
24°C
$1,147 Обс.
21%
25°C
$1,509 Обс.
55%
26°C
$1,930 Обс.
21%
27°C
$343 Обс.
4%
28°C
$262 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$182 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Incheon on September 15, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwest winds, and a maximum near 25°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs typically range 24–27°C. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 24–26°C, with low precipitation risk limiting variability, though slight differences in timing of peak heating could nudge the exact value. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological factors heavily, as updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration would likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,898Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Incheon on September 15, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwest winds, and a maximum near 25°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs typically range 24–27°C. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 24–26°C, with low precipitation risk limiting variability, though slight differences in timing of peak heating could nudge the exact value. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological factors heavily, as updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration would likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,898Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Incheon on September 15, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwest winds, and a maximum near 25°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support this outcome, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs typically range 24–27°C. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 24–26°C, with low precipitation risk limiting variability, though slight differences in timing of peak heating could nudge the exact value. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological factors heavily, as updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration would likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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