Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models place Shanghai's August 3 maximum near 34–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, subsidence, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. A late-July heat spell with observed peaks of 37–38 °C has anchored trader expectations, while variable afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow 1 °C spread between the leading 35 °C (39.5 %) and 34 °C (32.5 %) bins. Ensemble divergence in boundary-layer moisture and insolation timing keeps lower (33 °C) and higher (36 °C) outcomes viable but less probable, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
40%
36°C
11%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$273 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$130 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$150 Обс.
2%
32°C
$284 Обс.
3%
33°C
$569 Обс.
18%
34°C
$807 Обс.
33%
35°C
$1,197 Обс.
40%
36°C
$261 Обс.
11%
37°C
$1,465 Обс.
1%
38°C
$106 Обс.
2%
39°C or higher
$772 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models place Shanghai's August 3 maximum near 34–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, subsidence, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. A late-July heat spell with observed peaks of 37–38 °C has anchored trader expectations, while variable afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow 1 °C spread between the leading 35 °C (39.5 %) and 34 °C (32.5 %) bins. Ensemble divergence in boundary-layer moisture and insolation timing keeps lower (33 °C) and higher (36 °C) outcomes viable but less probable, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,014Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models place Shanghai's August 3 maximum near 34–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, subsidence, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. A late-July heat spell with observed peaks of 37–38 °C has anchored trader expectations, while variable afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow 1 °C spread between the leading 35 °C (39.5 %) and 34 °C (32.5 %) bins. Ensemble divergence in boundary-layer moisture and insolation timing keeps lower (33 °C) and higher (36 °C) outcomes viable but less probable, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,014Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models place Shanghai's August 3 maximum near 34–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, subsidence, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. A late-July heat spell with observed peaks of 37–38 °C has anchored trader expectations, while variable afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow 1 °C spread between the leading 35 °C (39.5 %) and 34 °C (32.5 %) bins. Ensemble divergence in boundary-layer moisture and insolation timing keeps lower (33 °C) and higher (36 °C) outcomes viable but less probable, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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