Recent short-range forecast models point to a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by a mix of residual summer monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. High relative humidity above 70% reduces the diurnal temperature range while the urban heat island effect in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 31–33°C band, with steering patterns and timing of any showers as the main variables that could push the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Traders’ close weighting between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
32°C 43%
33°C 34%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
$18,640 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,640 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
43%
33°C
34%
34°C
10%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 34%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
$18,640 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,640 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$1,623 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,592 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,343 Обс.
1%
30°C
$2,538 Обс.
4%
31°C
$2,897 Обс.
9%
32°C
$1,772 Обс.
43%
33°C
$2,228 Обс.
34%
34°C
$3,109 Обс.
10%
35°C
$600 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$449 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$488 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models point to a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by a mix of residual summer monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. High relative humidity above 70% reduces the diurnal temperature range while the urban heat island effect in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 31–33°C band, with steering patterns and timing of any showers as the main variables that could push the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Traders’ close weighting between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,640Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models point to a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by a mix of residual summer monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. High relative humidity above 70% reduces the diurnal temperature range while the urban heat island effect in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 31–33°C band, with steering patterns and timing of any showers as the main variables that could push the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Traders’ close weighting between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,640Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models point to a peak temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by a mix of residual summer monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. High relative humidity above 70% reduces the diurnal temperature range while the urban heat island effect in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 31–33°C band, with steering patterns and timing of any showers as the main variables that could push the daily maximum slightly higher or lower. Traders’ close weighting between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання