Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen under subtropical high pressure with scattered thunderstorms on August 18, 2026, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity above 75% and light easterly flow reduce evaporative cooling while cloud cover caps peak insolation, narrowing the range between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Current conditions on August 16 feature highs near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approaching moisture surge favors modest cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with traders weighting the probability of afternoon convection suppressing temperatures below recent peaks while acknowledging model spread on exact rainfall timing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
31°C 33%
32°C 27%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
33%
32°C
27%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
32°C 27%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$338 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$338 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$94 Обс.
2%
29°C
$250 Обс.
8%
30°C
$160 Обс.
14%
31°C
$1,863 Обс.
33%
32°C
$238 Обс.
27%
33°C
$208 Обс.
14%
34°C
$285 Обс.
5%
35°C
$45 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$47 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen under subtropical high pressure with scattered thunderstorms on August 18, 2026, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity above 75% and light easterly flow reduce evaporative cooling while cloud cover caps peak insolation, narrowing the range between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Current conditions on August 16 feature highs near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approaching moisture surge favors modest cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with traders weighting the probability of afternoon convection suppressing temperatures below recent peaks while acknowledging model spread on exact rainfall timing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,866Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen under subtropical high pressure with scattered thunderstorms on August 18, 2026, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity above 75% and light easterly flow reduce evaporative cooling while cloud cover caps peak insolation, narrowing the range between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Current conditions on August 16 feature highs near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approaching moisture surge favors modest cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with traders weighting the probability of afternoon convection suppressing temperatures below recent peaks while acknowledging model spread on exact rainfall timing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,866Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen under subtropical high pressure with scattered thunderstorms on August 18, 2026, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity above 75% and light easterly flow reduce evaporative cooling while cloud cover caps peak insolation, narrowing the range between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Current conditions on August 16 feature highs near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approaching moisture surge favors modest cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with traders weighting the probability of afternoon convection suppressing temperatures below recent peaks while acknowledging model spread on exact rainfall timing. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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