Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 24?
33°C 30%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
35°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 24, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
20%
33°C
30%
34°C
25%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
35°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 24, 2026
27°C or below
$15 Обс.
1%
28°C
$15 Обс.
1%
29°C
$20 Обс.
1%
30°C
$82 Обс.
1%
31°C
$0 Обс.
11%
32°C
$3 Обс.
20%
33°C
$5 Обс.
30%
34°C
$63 Обс.
25%
35°C
$0 Обс.
14%
36°C
$31 Обс.
3%
37°C or higher
$77 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$311Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$311Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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