**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on September 3?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 3?
28°C 41%
27°C 35%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
35%
28°C
41%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 41%
27°C 35%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$55 Обс.
2%
24°C
$15 Обс.
2%
25°C
$20 Обс.
2%
26°C
$20 Обс.
8%
27°C
$132 Обс.
35%
28°C
$124 Обс.
41%
29°C
$115 Обс.
17%
30°C
$59 Обс.
4%
31°C
$10 Обс.
2%
32°C
$10 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$570Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$570Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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