Imran Khan remains incarcerated in Adiala Jail under two active convictions—a 14-year term in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and a 17-year sentence in the Toshakhana state-gifts matter—both under appeal before the Islamabad High Court, where sentence-suspension requests were rejected in May 2026. Recent Supreme Court orders addressed medical examinations and prison conditions, including a brief August 2026 hospital visit after which authorities returned him to jail, while the Islamabad High Court later directed an end to solitary confinement and improved family access. The government has consistently stated that any relief must come through judicial channels rather than negotiation, and analysts note limited incentive for the military-backed establishment to facilitate his political return absent major concessions. With appeals ongoing and no scheduled resolution likely to produce release within the next 16 months, traders assign a high probability to continued detention through December 2026.