**The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability for a 2026 engagement reflects the couple’s stable three-year relationship since their LSU days alongside the absence of any confirmed proposal or major steps toward marriage.** Livvy Dunne and Paul Skenes continue to appear together at high-profile events, including the 2026 MLB All-Star red carpet and Cy Young-related gatherings, while publicly supporting each other’s careers—her transition into acting (Baywatch reboot) and modeling (Sports Illustrated Swimsuit) and his ongoing MLB season with the Pirates. Long-distance dynamics and packed schedules have been openly discussed without signaling immediate wedding plans. With the calendar advancing toward year-end holidays and the conclusion of the baseball season, traders appear to weigh the likelihood of a private or public announcement against the pattern of no verified movement to date, leaving room for either confirmation or continuation of their current status.