Recent forecasts from sources including Open-Meteo and the Met Office show Buenos Aires experiencing persistent cloud cover, light rain, and southeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s on October 15, keeping overnight temperatures near 13–14°C and limiting radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of spring marine influence, support a daily minimum around 13°C rather than deeper drops seen in clearer anticyclonic setups. Model runs converge on this range with minor spreads from timing of showers or wind shifts, creating uncertainty of 1–2°C that explains the tight market-implied odds clustered around 9–12°C. Updated hourly observations and evening model guidance will refine the exact low before resolution.