Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Buenos Aires on October 4, driven by clearing skies after Saturday's rain and light southwesterly winds that limit overnight cooling. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions, combined with dew points around 9–11°C, supports this range rather than deeper cold advection. The near-even market odds between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher reflect residual model spread on steering patterns and cloud cover, while the clustered probabilities around 9–12°C align with the consensus minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine whether any unexpected high-pressure strengthening or northerly flow shifts the outcome before resolution.