Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 4?
20°C or below 40%
22°C 36%
21°C 19%
23°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
36%
23°C
12%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 40%
22°C 36%
21°C 19%
23°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$88 Обс.
40%
21°C
$37 Обс.
26%
22°C
$40 Обс.
36%
23°C
$103 Обс.
12%
24°C
$32 Обс.
1%
25°C
$36 Обс.
2%
26°C
$43 Обс.
1%
27°C
$39 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$49 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$49 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$27 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$544Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$544Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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