Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight low of 15–16°C in Paris on October 13, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling. This autumnal pattern, with daytime highs reaching 23–24°C and stable high pressure around 1023–1029 hPa, aligns with typical mid-October climatology for the region. Trader positioning favors the 15°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal temperature drops despite some hourly guidance dipping toward 13–14°C. Official station measurements, once finalized, will resolve the market based on the precise daily minimum recorded.