Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Taipei's overnight low on October 15 will settle near 22–23°C under easterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-October in northern Taiwan and supports the market's strong consensus around 23°C. Official observations from local stations and pressure trends around 1016–1017 hPa reinforce stable conditions without significant cold-air advection. A clearer sky or unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 21°C or below, though model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before midnight resolution.