Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 amid cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, consistent with typical August baselines near 24–25°C but tempered by above-normal seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. This supports the near-even market split between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%), as traders weigh overnight radiative cooling under partial cloud cover against urban heat retention and minor model spread in low-level temperatures. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, where slight variations in timing of any showers or wind could shift the daily minimum by 1°C, keeping probabilities fluid until final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$177 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$161 Обс.
1%
24°C
$179 Обс.
3%
25°C
$462 Обс.
47%
26°C
$355 Обс.
42%
27°C
$243 Обс.
1%
28°C
$296 Обс.
1%
29°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$307 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 amid cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, consistent with typical August baselines near 24–25°C but tempered by above-normal seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. This supports the near-even market split between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%), as traders weigh overnight radiative cooling under partial cloud cover against urban heat retention and minor model spread in low-level temperatures. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, where slight variations in timing of any showers or wind could shift the daily minimum by 1°C, keeping probabilities fluid until final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,889Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 amid cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, consistent with typical August baselines near 24–25°C but tempered by above-normal seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. This supports the near-even market split between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%), as traders weigh overnight radiative cooling under partial cloud cover against urban heat retention and minor model spread in low-level temperatures. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, where slight variations in timing of any showers or wind could shift the daily minimum by 1°C, keeping probabilities fluid until final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,889Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 amid cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, consistent with typical August baselines near 24–25°C but tempered by above-normal seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. This supports the near-even market split between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%), as traders weigh overnight radiative cooling under partial cloud cover against urban heat retention and minor model spread in low-level temperatures. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, where slight variations in timing of any showers or wind could shift the daily minimum by 1°C, keeping probabilities fluid until final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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