**Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7) faces intense pressure to exit Congress or drop his reelection bid following domestic abuse and child abuse allegations filed by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno.** These claims, which surfaced prominently in early August 2026 court documents and public statements, prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, calls for resignation from multiple GOP senators including Moreno and Jon Husted, and Democratic Women’s Caucus demands. Miller has denied the accusations, rejected withdrawal deadlines around August 6–7, and committed personal funds to his campaign while vowing to continue. The Ohio 7th District race has shifted from a prior safe Republican seat to a competitive contest, with recent polling showing Democrat Brian Poindexter leading by double digits. Miller’s term ends January 3, 2027, so losing the November 2026 election would not remove him by the market’s December 31, 2026 cutoff. Trader balance near 50% reflects uncertainty over whether sustained party pressure, ethics rulings, legal developments in the custody case, or further polling erosion will force an earlier resignation versus Miller enduring through the general election. Upcoming factors include ballot access outcomes, additional Senate Republican statements, and any verified findings from the ethics probe.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
0% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7) faces intense pressure to exit Congress or drop his reelection bid following domestic abuse and child abuse allegations filed by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno.** These claims, which surfaced prominently in early August 2026 court documents and public statements, prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, calls for resignation from multiple GOP senators including Moreno and Jon Husted, and Democratic Women’s Caucus demands. Miller has denied the accusations, rejected withdrawal deadlines around August 6–7, and committed personal funds to his campaign while vowing to continue.
The Ohio 7th District race has shifted from a prior safe Republican seat to a competitive contest, with recent polling showing Democrat Brian Poindexter leading by double digits. Miller’s term ends January 3, 2027, so losing the November 2026 election would not remove him by the market’s December 31, 2026 cutoff. Trader balance near 50% reflects uncertainty over whether sustained party pressure, ethics rulings, legal developments in the custody case, or further polling erosion will force an earlier resignation versus Miller enduring through the general election. Upcoming factors include ballot access outcomes, additional Senate Republican statements, and any verified findings from the ethics probe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7) faces intense pressure to exit Congress or drop his reelection bid following domestic abuse and child abuse allegations filed by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno.** These claims, which surfaced prominently in early August 2026 court documents and public statements, prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, calls for resignation from multiple GOP senators including Moreno and Jon Husted, and Democratic Women’s Caucus demands. Miller has denied the accusations, rejected withdrawal deadlines around August 6–7, and committed personal funds to his campaign while vowing to continue.
The Ohio 7th District race has shifted from a prior safe Republican seat to a competitive contest, with recent polling showing Democrat Brian Poindexter leading by double digits. Miller’s term ends January 3, 2027, so losing the November 2026 election would not remove him by the market’s December 31, 2026 cutoff. Trader balance near 50% reflects uncertainty over whether sustained party pressure, ethics rulings, legal developments in the custody case, or further polling erosion will force an earlier resignation versus Miller enduring through the general election. Upcoming factors include ballot access outcomes, additional Senate Republican statements, and any verified findings from the ethics probe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7) faces intense pressure to exit Congress or drop his reelection bid following domestic abuse and child abuse allegations filed by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno.** These claims, which surfaced prominently in early August 2026 court documents and public statements, prompted a House Ethics Committee investigation, calls for resignation from multiple GOP senators including Moreno and Jon Husted, and Democratic Women’s Caucus demands. Miller has denied the accusations, rejected withdrawal deadlines around August 6–7, and committed personal funds to his campaign while vowing to continue. The Ohio 7th District race has shifted from a prior safe Republican seat to a competitive contest, with recent polling showing Democrat Brian Poindexter leading by double digits. Miller’s term ends January 3, 2027, so losing the November 2026 election would not remove him by the market’s December 31, 2026 cutoff. Trader balance near 50% reflects uncertainty over whether sustained party pressure, ethics rulings, legal developments in the custody case, or further polling erosion will force an earlier resignation versus Miller enduring through the general election. Upcoming factors include ballot access outcomes, additional Senate Republican statements, and any verified findings from the ethics probe.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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